Tuesday, April 8, 2014

Bellator`116 Predictions

                                              Bellator 116

Bellator 116 Predictions
April 8, 2014
By Ryan Porzl



Joey Beltran vs. Vladimir Matyushenko
Nickname:                          The Mexicutioner  |          The Janitor
Height:                                          6'1              |               6'0
Age:                                               32              |                43
MMA Record (BMMA):  13-10, 1NC (1-1) |           27-7 (1-0)
Arm Length:                                75 in.            |             74 in.
Team:                                    Alliance MMA    |            VMAT
Weight Class:                            Light Heavyweight (205 pounds)

Notes: Matyushenko's retirement fight

Preview: Beltran is riding a two fight losing streak. His recent loss was to Quinton Jackson at Bellator 108 (November 15, 2013). Matyushenko is coming off a win over Houston Alexander by unanimous decision at Bellator 99 (September 13, 2013).

Predictions: Matyushenko. Matyushenko has excellent wrestling and can possibly frustrate Beltran with it. If Fabio Maldonado frustrated Beltran then Matyushenko should. Beltran has also not looked good in years. He hasn't won a fight in two years and had a win streak in four years. Matyushenko should also know what to expect as Beltran is mostly a striker and a grappler. Beltran is a heavy hitter but he hasn't won a fight by knockout since UFC 131 three years ago (against Aaron Rosa). Matyushenko has also shown he has a decent chin as he survived Houston Alexander in his last fight. Matyushenko may be up there in years but he has only lost in the last few years to some of UFC's top fighters like Jon Jones, Ryan Bader, and Alexander Gustafsson. Matyushenko is best known for his wrestling but he can strike and knock fighters out as he's won nine fights by T/KO.

Nathan Coy vs. Adam McDonough
Nickname:                                       Soulforce    |          None
Height:                                                  6'1         |          5'10
Age:                                                       35         |            28
MMA Record (BMMA):              14-4 (2-0)    |      10-0 (2-0)
Arm Length:                                        71 in.       |         66 in.
Team:                                  American Top Team |      Unknown
Weight Class:                                   Welterweight (170 pounds)

Notes: Bellator MMA Season Ten Welterweight Semi-final

Preview: Coy is riding a six fight win streak. His recent win was over Paul Bradley by unanimous decision at Bellator 112 (March 14, 2014). McDonough is undefeated with ten wins. His recent win was over Jesse Juarez by unanimous decision at Bellator 112 (March 14, 2014).

Predictions: Coy. McDonough seems like a talented up and comer but Coy will probably the toughest opponent to date. Coy is a very decorated wrestler and will be the better grappler on the ground. To date, he has been successful with every takedown he's attempt. He also proved he can strike and mix things up as he messed up Paul Bradley last month. Coy also has a 5 inch reach advantage. He also has the benefit of training at one of the best gyms in the world in American Top Team. Once again, I have no idea where McDonough trains so it's hard to know what kind of coaches or sparring partners he may have.

Alexander Volkov vs. Siala-Mou Siliga
Nickname:                                            Drago          |        Mighty Mo
Height:                                                    6'7             |             6'1
Age:                                                         25             |              43
MMA Record (BMMA):                20-4 (4-1)       |          6-2 (3-0)
Arm Length:                                           81 in.         |            74 in.
Team:                                    Rusfighters Sport Club |      Millennia MMA
Weight Class:                                      Heavyweight (265 pounds)

Notes: Bellator MMA Season Ten Heavyweight Tournament Semi-final

Preview: Volkov is coming off a win over Mark Holata by TKO at Bellator 111 (March 7, 2014). Mo is riding a three fight win streak. His recent win was over Peter Graham by submission at Bellator 111 (March 7, 2014).

Predictions: Volkov. Volkov is easily the best fighter Mo has to fight in his bellator career to date. Dan Charles is an indy fighter, Ron Sparks has so many holes, and Peter Graham has had a problem with cardio. Volkov doesn't have cardio issues, he's a very good striker with combos, he has a huge size and reach advantage, is far younger, and is training with great gyms like RusFighters, Black House, and Alliance. Mo has made a lot of improvement since coming to Bellator but this will be the tough uphill battle. His ground game is improving but Volkov is far better on the ground than Sparks and Graham. His cardio is not the best and it will be hard to beat Volkov as the fight goes on. Mo has shown he can finish fights in the third round but that was against tired fighters and Volkov won't get tired in a three round fight. Volkov also knows how to use his reach and if he wants to, he could jab his way through three rounds given the reach difference.

Blagoi Ivanov vs. Lavar Johnson
Nickname:                                             Bagata      |          Big
Height:                                                     5'11        |          6'3
Age:                                                           27         |           36
MMA Record (BMMA):           10-0, 1NC (5-0) |     18-8 (1-1)
Arm Length:                                            73 in.       |        81 in.
Team:                                    SK Absolute Bulgaria |    Pro Buhave
Weight Class:                                   Heavyweight (265 pounds)

Notes: Bellator MMA Season Ten Heavyweight Semi-final

Preview: Ivanov is unbeaten in eleven fights (10 wins and 1 no contest). His recent fight was a win over Richard Hale by unanimous decision at Bellator 111 (March 7, 2014). Johnson is coming off a win over Ryan Martinez by TKO at Bellator 111 (March 7, 2014).


Predictions: Johnson. Ivanov has the skills to convincingly defeat Johnson but it's a question of will he use them and there's a good chance he might not. Johnson is one dimensional but he's such a powerful striker and can knock just about anyone out. He'll also have a big reach advantage which could make it difficult for Ivanov to strike with him. Another advantage for Johnson is the fact that Ivanov is a fighter that sometimes doesn't play towards his strengths. Despite being a very decorated sambo champion, Ivanov is like a few grappler where he sometimes focuses too much on striking and ignoring his grappling skills. If Ivanov doesn't use his grappling and decides to strike then it'll end in disaster. Johnson has a reliable chin, a lot of power even for a heavyweight, and longer arms. Ivanov barely survived his fight against Keith Bell back in November as he got picked apart standing up and came very close to being knocked out. Johnson is a better fighter, has more power, and longer arms than Bell. If Ivanov tries to strike, then he'll likely get picked apart and finished. He likely won't get rocked and have a chance to recover as he'll probably be knocked out cold. 

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